Quantifying Supply Chain Disruption and Logistics Delay: What the Protocols Don’t Tell You



Supply Chain Disruption in Construction: Beyond Delay and Into Disruption Claims
This article explores the often-overlooked distinction between delay and disruption in construction supply chain claims, highlighting how logistics failures, sanctions, material shortages, and geopolitical events create cascading impacts far beyond simple schedule overruns. It examines practical methods for quantifying productivity loss, tracing causation, and selecting the right analytical approach under the SCL Protocol and AACE guidance. The piece also emphasises the importance of contemporaneous records, transparency, and credible disruption analysis in arbitration and dispute resolution.
Frequently Asked Questions
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What is the difference between delay and disruption in construction claims?
Delay relates to time impacts on the project schedule and critical path, while disruption concerns reduced productivity and inefficiency caused by interruptions to normal working methods. A project may suffer major disruption costs even where completion delay is limited.
Why are supply chain disruption claims difficult to quantify?
Supply chain disruptions create cascading effects across multiple trades, sequences, and workflows. The impacts often spread beyond the original delay event, making causation and productivity loss difficult to isolate and measure accurately.
What is the most effective method for measuring disruption?
The Measured Mile method is generally considered the most reliable approach because it compares productivity during impacted and unimpacted periods using actual project performance data.
Why are project records critical in disruption claims?
Accurate records help demonstrate the direct link between supply chain events and resulting project impacts. Shipping delays, material substitutions, labour redeployment, and programme updates all play a crucial role in proving causation and damages.
How do material substitutions affect disruption analysis?
Material substitutions often introduce new design reviews, testing requirements, fabrication changes, and rework. Since substitute materials are rarely identical to the originals, analysts must carefully adjust baselines and productivity assumptions to maintain credibility in the claim.